THE COGNITIVE BIAS We store memories differently based on how they were experienced We discard specifics to form gene
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THE
COGNITIVE BIAS
We store memories differently based on how they were experienced
We discard specifics to form generalities
We edit and reinforce some memories after the fact
Tip of the tongue phenomenon Google effect effect Next–in–line ect Testing eff ness minded ct Absent– g effe ocessin –of–pr Levels t effec Suffix ffect n e ct sitio l–po ing effe t c Seria ue c effe –set ncy ffect Part ece e R acy bition i t Prim h c n ry i y effe t c mo t Me odali egle t n M ec ion t eff rat gth ffec t Du n e t–le ecall effec g r Lis n i n l ria atio pen ule r r Se m a for sh nd d –e sin as Mi g an eak bi s P ct b ia e lin fe ve af vity dic as Le ju i ng ti di ga re al b pes P Fa Ne c y pi ot ty re e o te er t s St lici p Im
We reduce events and lists to their key elements
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To avoid mistakes, we aim to preserve autonomy and group status, and avoid irreversible decisions
To get things done, we tend to complete things we've invested time and energy in
ci a at Su cin io n g g Fa ge ef l f Mi s s sa So Cry e m tibi ect ttr ibu urce ptom em lity o tio n o conf nes ry Le f m usi ia ss– em on is– ory be tte O c r Co nju cam' effec sr nc t Law tion f azor Bik of T allac e–s Rhy me– heddin rivialit y y as– reas g effec on e t Beli ffect e Infor mati f bias on b Amb iguity ias bias Status qu Social c omparis o bias on effec t Decoy eff ect Reactance Reverse psycholo gy System justification
Backfire effect Endowment effect t ifficulty effec Processing d t c e rtainty eff Pseudoce ct ion effe Disposit s ia isk b Zero–r a i s Unit b t effec IKEA sion aver ct s s Lo effe t tion a en r e Gen ommitm ion of c scalat cy n o i e a alat nal st fall o i t Esc Irra nk co ect Su eff lty m icti nove ng v to ble nti ifia peal cou t n ct Ap ic dis Ide ffe n l e o o rb an sati on pe m i y n z H e lt at s Pe omp tific bia is n s c us sk rt j iptio the rror i R ffo cr po e ity E as hy on ior i r ait tion ibut pe r T u r u s b tt tri l a ory t a a t s ive men Illu s n fe nda e D Fu
To act, we must be confident we can make an impact and feel what we do is important
Need To Act Fast
so
We notice when something has changed
w on er la i s n n illu ch tio y Fe a as i z e b ali on r– s n io bia tion as M ebe t a ra bi e W irm enc ase ive f t n h u rt n ec Co ngr purc ppo ptio y eff Co st– –su erce tanc Po oice ve p pec ias Ch lecti er–ex r's b Se serv ente ct Ob erim r effe s p a Ex serve on bi i t Ob ecta ect tion ff t Exp rich e valida ffec e e t e Os jectiv enc nflu x i b u d S e refle tinu Con elweis m Sem pot ind s l b s Bia ism cynic e v ï a N realism Naïve
tion Confabula usion Clustering ill ple size Insensitivity to sam Neglect of probability Anecdotal fallacy Illusion of validity Masked–man falla cy Recency illu sion Gambler' s fallacy Hot–han d fallac y Illusor y corre lation Pareid olia Anth ropo morp hism Gro u Ulti p attrib mat utio n er e at Ste ror trib reo u typ Ess tion i n erro g Fun ential r ism c t ion Mo a Ju ral cr l fixe st– dn e d Ar gu worl entia ess l ef Au me d h Au thor nt fr ypot fect Ba tom ity b om f hesis all Pl ndw atio ias ac ac nb y a eb go n e ias o Ou ef Cr t–g fe ffec ct o t In s ro –g s– up r ro ac h up e om fa eff og vo ec en ei rit t ty is m bi as
We think we know what other people are thinking
We are drawn to details that confirm our own existing beliefs
We notice flaws in others more easily than we notice flaws in ourselves
We tend to find stories and patterns even when looking at sparse data
We fill in characteristics from stereotypes, generalities, and prior histories
We imagine things and people we're familiar with or fond of as better
We simplify probabilities and numbers to make them easier to think about
We project our current mindset and assumptions onto the past and future
Too Much Information
Bizarre, funny, visually striking, or anthropomorphic things stick out more than non-bizarre/unfunny things
ct fe ef ct fe er ct ef ad fe ere on ct o le y ef d h ati effe u al r H ee ivit nte val ad e e ro Ch it v s d y ac Po t in ive led e t g all No ac rav tin lity f n Re ell–t ou abi b cc W l a pro nta to as l Me pea cy bi w a al Ap m r 's L ias No rphy b ias Mu sum ip b ct e h ro f Ze vivors ity ef t r fec tiv Su n ef er 7 ± 2 ddi o a i t Sub omina mb l nu Den agica m ency The spar f tran on o dge owle Illusi n e of k ect Curs ff ight e rror Spotl ntive e ic ince ncy Extrins nal age of exter Illusion ic insight asymmetr Illusion of
To stay focused, we favor the immediate, relatable thing in front of us
as
Ac Illu to si o r Se –ob n o lf– se f c Ba ser rve ont rn vin r b ro l Fo um g b ias O i Du e E pti rer ff as n La nin goc mis eff ect g ke m e e Wo –Kru ntri bia ct be ge c b s Fa r ia H g a lse rd– one effe s co c ns easy effe t Th e c n i e t rd– So pe sus e ffect cia rso l f de Ove n e fect rco sirab f fec il nfid enc ity bia t ee s Self ffec –co t nsis te Res ncy bia train s t bia Proje s c t ion b Pro–i nnov ation ias Time– bias savin g bias Plannin g falla cy Pessim ism bia s Impact bia s Declinism Moral luck Outcome bias Hindsight bias Rosy retrospection Telescoping effect
We favor simple–looking options and complete information over complex, ambiguous options
it
We notice things already primed in memory or repeated often Availability heuristic Attentional bias Illusory truth effect Mere–exp osure effe ct Contex t effect Cue–d epend ent for Mood getting – Frequ congruent memo e ry bia Baad ncy illusi s o n e r – M Emp ei nh a o f Phe Om thy ga nom p issio e non Bas n bi as e ra te f alla Biz cy arr ene Hu Vo mor e ss eff n Pic Res ffect ect Se ture torff Ne lf–re supe effec ga l e v t rio a tiv r ity nce ity e An ffe bia eff Co cho ct e s c t Co ns rin D nt erv g Fo istin ras atis Fr cu ct t ef m am si ion fe c in ng b t g ef ias ef fe fe c t ct
What Should We Remember?
CODEX
Not Enough Meaning