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Economic Indicators 2009 2010 2011 DOWNLOAD THE CEPCI TWO WEEKS SOONER AT WWW.CHE.COM/PCI CHEMICAL ENGINEERING PLANT

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Economic Indicators

2009

2010

2011

DOWNLOAD THE CEPCI TWO WEEKS SOONER AT WWW.CHE.COM/PCI CHEMICAL ENGINEERING PLANT COST INDEX (CEPCI) (1957-59 = 100)

Aug. '11 Prelim. 600.6 734.4 691.9 674.5 909.6 501.9 909.9 512.6 775.7 330.6 521.0 331.9

CE Index

Equipment Heat exchangers & tanks Process machinery Pipe, valves & fittings Process instruments Pumps & compressors Electrical equipment Structural supports & misc Construction labor Buildings Engineering & supervision

July '11 Final 593.2 724.1 681.8 675.8 915.3 446.9 909.5 512.5 764.7 326.9 520.5 332.1

650

Aug '10 Final 549.5 657.3 605.8 621.7 827.1 416.9 902.5 482.7 675.6 330.0 503.0 337.9

CURRENT BUSINESS INDICATORS

Annual Index:

600

2003 = 402.0 2004 = 444.2

550

2005 = 468.2 2006 = 499.6

500

2007 = 525.4 2008 = 575.4

450

2009 = 521.9 2010 = 550.8

400

J

LATEST

F

M

A

M

J

J

PREVIOUS

A

S

O

N

D

YEAR AGO

CPI output index (2007 = 100)

Sep. '11

=

87.4

Aug. '11

=

87.3

Jul. '11

=

87.2

Sep. '10

=

85.4

CPI value of output, $ billions

Aug. '11

=

2,068.1

Jul. '11

=

2,083.1

Jun. '11

=

2,073.4

Aug. '10

=

1,732.7

CPI operating rate, %

Sep. '11

=

75.4

Aug. '11

=

75.3

Jul. '11

=

75.2

Sep. '10

=

73.3

Producer prices, industrial chemicals (1982 = 100)

Sep. '11

=

338.7

Aug. '11

=

336.5

Jul. '11

=

338.0

Sep. '10

=

264.0

Industrial Production in Manufacturing (2007=100)

Sep. '11

=

90.9

Aug. '11

=

90.6

Jul. '11

=

90.3

Sep. '10

=

87.5

Hourly earnings index, chemical & allied products (1992 = 100)

Sep. '11

=

158.0

Aug. '11

=

158.0

Jul. '11

=

159.4

Sep. '10

=

159.1

Productivity index, chemicals & allied products (1992 = 100)

Sep. '11

=

109.2

Aug. '11

=

109.6

Jul. '11

=

110.7

Sep. '10

=

111.8

CPI OUTPUT INDEX (2007 = 100)

CPI OUTPUT VALUE ($ BILLIONS)

CPI OPERATING RATE (%)

120

2500

85

110

2200

80

100

1900

75

90

1600

70

80

1300

65

70

60

1000

J F M A M J

J A S O N D

J F M A M J

J A S O N D

J F M A M J

J A S O N D

Current Business Indicators provided by Global Insight, Inc., Lexington, Mass.

MARSHALL & SWIFT EQUIPMENT COST INDEX (1926 = 100)

M & S INDEX

Process industries, average Cement Chemicals Clay products Glass Paint Paper Petroleum products Rubber Related industries Electrical power Mining, milling Refrigeration Steam power

2003 = 1,123.6 2007 = 1,373.3

3rd Q 2011 1,533.3

2nd Q 2011 1,512.5

1st Q 2011 1,490.2

4th Q 2010 1,476.7

3rd Q 2010 1,473.3

1,592.5 1,589.3 1,559.8 1,579.2 1,491.1 1,608.7 1,502.4 1,698.7 1,641.4

1,569.0 1,568.0 1,537.4 1,557.5 1,469.2 1,584.1 1,480.7 1,672.0 1,617.4

1,549.8 1,546.6 1,519.8 1,534.9 1,447.2 1,560.7 1,459.4 1,652.5 1,596.2

1,537.0 1,532.5 1,507.3 1,521.4 1,432.7 1,545.8 1,447.6 1,640.4 1,581.5

1,534.4 1,530.0 1,505.2 1,518.3 1,428.5 1,542.1 1,444.5 1,637.0 1,579.3

1,517.6 1,648.6 1,884.4 1,572.2

1,494.9 1,623.5 1,856.4 1,546.5

1,461.2 1,599.7 1,827.8 1,523.0

1,434.9 1,579.4 1,809.3 1,506.4

1,419.2 1,576.7 1,804.8 1,502.3

Annual Index: 2004 = 1,178.5 2005 = 1,244.5 2008 = 1,449.3 2009 = 1,468.6

CURRENT TRENDS

1545

C

1530 1515 1500 1485 1470 1455 1440 1425 1410 1395 1380

2006 = 1,302.3 2010 = 1,457.4

1365 1st

2nd 3rd Quarter

4th

Source: Marshall & Swift‘s Marshall Valuation Service manual. Reprinted and published with permission of Marshall & Swift/Boeckh, LLC and its licensors, copyright 2010. May not be reprinted, copied, automated or used for valuation without permission.

64

CHEMICAL ENGINEERING WWW.CHE.COM NOVEMBER 2011

apital equipment prices, as reflected in the CE Plant Cost Index (CEPCI), increased approximately 1.3% on average from June to July, after increasing approximately 0.73% from June to July. Meanwhile, according to the Current Business Indicators (see middle table) from Global Insight, Inc. (Lexington, Mass.), September saw increases in the CPI output index and the CPI operating rate. Visit www.che.com/pci for more information and other tips on capital cost trends and methodology. ■